2009 Stock Picks Competition Results

What a year 2009 turned out to be with regards to market returns – in fact 2009 resulted in the highest return since 1983 with a 30.7% gain.   Congrats to those who had the courage to buy equities during the down turn.

The markets started 2009 on a bad note and continued its down ward spiral until March after which we got a surprisingly strong bull rally.  My picks below faired well, but not as well as the market.

Here are the results:

My 4 Stock Picks of 2009

  1. Hanfeng Evergreen (HF.TO) – This company creates high yielding fertilizer for the Chinese market.  I’ve been watching this stock for a couple years now and it seems to be oversold relative to their (profitable) earnings.  This stock has the possibility of making a comeback providing that the Chinese market makes a partial recovery.  If the markets don’t cooperate in 2009, then this stock could go down even further.  Price as of closing Dec 31, 2008: $5.63.  Price as of closing Dec 31, 2009: $7.39  (+31.3%)
  2. Johnson and Johnson (JNJ) – Now that I have my exciting stock out of the way, time to go to the boring large cap stuff.  Johnson and Johnson manufactures ’staple’ items like Tylenol, Johnson baby products, band aid, Listerine and other popular skin care products.  Even in a recession, I believe that people will continue to buy these products.  JNJ also offers a sustainable dividend at an attractive yield.  Price as of closing Dec 31, 2008: $59.83. Price as of closing Dec 31, 2009: $66.34 (inc dividends)  (+10.9%)
  3. Husky Energy (HSE.TO) – This is my pick for some energy sector exposure.  Even though the potential global recession throughout 2009 could keep oil prices depressed, I like Husky Energy’s oil properties and their profitability.  Their dividend doesn’t hurt either. Price as of closing Dec 31, 2008: $30.87. Price as of closing Dec 31, 2009: $31.28 (inc dividends)  (+1.3%)
  4. Power Financial (PWF.TO) – This holding company has large positions in IGM Financial, Great West Life, Canada Life and London Life.  It offers a generous sustainable dividend and I believe that this stock has been irrationally oversold.  Hopefully PWF will recover in 2009. Price as of closing Dec 31, 2008: $23.90. Price as of closing Dec 31, 2009: $32.48 (inc dividends)  (+35.9%)

Overall, counting dividends, all of my picks turned out positive for the year with an average return of 19.85%.  Even though 20% sounds great, I would have been better off purchasing the Canadian index ETF XIU, which ended the year with about a 30% gain.

How did your stock picks do?

Here are the results from the other bloggers:

  1. IntelligentSpeculator, 81.56%
  2. WildInvestor, 70.15%
  3. Wheredoesallmymoneygo, 56.14%
  4. TheFinancialBlogger, 44.62%
  5. FourPillars, 35.26%
  6. DividendGrowthInvestor, 26.48%
  7. Million Dollar Journey, 19.85%
  8. MyTradersJournal, 0.18%
  9. ZachStocks, -8.8%

My 2010 picks are coming up!

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FT is the founder and editor of Million Dollar Journey (est. 2006). Through various financial strategies outlined on this site, he grew his net worth from $200,000 in 2006 to $1,000,000 by 2014. You can read more about him here.
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11 years ago

I would like to know what IntelligentSpeculator had for a gain of 81.56%! And they say that the stock market is down and all this talk the media loves to play off of. You have to be kidding me, this some great gains!

Doctor Stock
11 years ago

20% is an encouraging return too… especially when one has to look way out into the future (1 year can result in lots of changes, as we saw this year). Congrats.

Nolan Matthias
11 years ago

Hey FT,

Any chance you guys would let a young innovative mortgage broker in on your competition for 2010?



11 years ago

JNJ is a good choice. Me thinks they will be defending their rights to Remicaide from Merck this year. If you recall, last year Merck did a “reverse merger” with Schering Plough. Schering and J&J were marketing Remicaide together.
As a disclaimer, I have both JNJ and MRK.

My real hopes are on Western Coal (WTN.TO). I have them in my TFSA and they’ve gone up nicely since March ’09.